The shambles that is Sunderland AFC: Who’s to blame?

In theory Sunderland have all the makings of being a top side: we have the stadium, the fans, the history, and even a wealthy American owner. Surely this would be the perfect recipe for success…well it should be, but this is Sunderland after all. 40 years without a trophy, the worst start in Premier League history, and over half a year since our last league victory. It’s not going well.

This beggars the question as to how this great football club has managed to loiter in the lower echelons of the league in recent seasons, persistently fighting relegation, despite high investment in a team boasting a host of international stars. Clearly something is amiss. So who exactly is to blame for this debacle? The owner? The managers? The players?

Well let’s start off with the owner, Ellis Short. The wealthy American businessman attained 100% control of the club in May 2009 after initially buying a 30% stake in September 2008. There’s no questioning his loyalty to the club with over £120 million spent on players since the 2009 summer transfer window. Granted, we have recouped a lot of that money back in the sales of Darren Bent, Jordan Henderson and Simon Mignolet to name but a few. However, Short clearly cares for the club.

It’s also pretty tough to criticise his decisions regarding the sacking of managers in recent years. His decisions to axe Bruce and O’Neill at the time he did were backed by the majority of supporters, as it was universally accepted that under the pair of them we simply weren’t playing well enough.

Then there was the appointment of Paolo Di Canio.

At the time it was a superb decision, exactly the man we needed to rejuvenate and reignite the dressing room following the dismal last few months of O’Neill’s reign. There is little doubt that he saved us from the drop, with the 1-0 defeat of Everton and the 3-0 demolition of Newcastle at St James’ Park followed by home draws against Stoke and Southampton just proving to be enough for us to edge over the finish line.

However, during the summer the Short and the Board’s policies have left question marks over the fan’s heads. The selling of star players Simon Mignolet and Stéphane Sessègnon for a rather poultry combined fee of £15 million hardly showed a great deal ambition as myself, and many other Sunderland fans were wondering what had happened to all this TV money generated from the new television broadcasting rights deal.

Then came the sacking of Di Canio. Personally I felt this was too early. At the very least Di Canio should have stayed for the Liverpool and Manchester United games as no new manager was even planned to have been appointed by then. Any sacking 5 games into a season is absurd, especially after a radical squad overhaul in the summer but whether you like it or not, Short had his reasons and whilst I didn’t agree with them, many Sunderland fans did.

Now onto the managers, and there’s been a fair few of them. I always feel a degree of sympathy for managers when they get the sack, as it’s not them on the field scoring the goals, although Bruce, O’Neill and Di Canio all made fatal mistakes.

Bruce’s transfer policy was a bit of a mystery, with vast swathes of money seemingly wasted on English ‘talent’. Signing Connor Wickham for around £10 million was always going to be a gamble whilst the acquisitions of experienced, yet injury prone players like Wes Brown was also rather dubious.

Bruce also baffled supporters with his selections, including his infamous 4-6-0 formation away to Brighton in the League Cup. Such tactics may work for Spain but I suppose it helps to have Xavi and Iniesta marshalling the midfield rather than Colback and Gardner. The night ended in defeat in probably the second worst Sunderland performance I’d ever seen, just behind the 3-1 away defeat to Southend under Niall Quinn with an honourable mention to the 0-3 loss to Wigan in the FA Cup in 2008.

Performances against Newcastle were also subpar to say the least, notably the 5-1 trouncing at St James’ Park, a freak result with supporters questioning the manager and the player’s character. The 3-0 win at Stamford Bridge a fortnight later proved the team had the talent, but for some reason this was seldom seen, with prolonged winless runs appearing to become an annual frustration.

Then came Martin O’Neill. He had seemingly been linked to the Sunderland job every time it became available for the last 10 years and was enormously popular on his arrival, with his status only increasing following an impressive start including the memorable last minute victories over Blackburn, QPR and Manchester City.

However, that Ji Dong-Won goal with just 4 seconds left was the highlight of his tenure, as form and confidence dropped dramatically following the abysmal 2-0 home defeat to Everton in the Quarter Final replay of the FA Cup.

Big money signing Adam Johnson never truly played to his potential and a torrid 2012/3 campaign ensued, with woeful performances away to QPR and Reading coupled with the inability to beat Fulham and Norwich at home proving to be the final nails in the coffin. For some the reason the great man motivator couldn’t fire up the players, who seemed rather lackadaisical and lost in the overly negative system employed by the Northern Irishman.

Shots on target were at a premium throughout the season, with mind numbingly boring football perpetually depressing the Sunderland fans until Paolo arrived.

He fundamentally kept us in the Premier League. For this reason alone I am grateful to him. He had passion for the job, and gave the players a metaphorical kick up the backside and there was some desire in the performances. His main criticism was his treatment of the players, but while his approach was hard-line, I can’t help but wonder how much the media coverage resulted in his eventual departure.

Every minor thing he did to upset the applecart was splashed around the papers. He was clearly unfairly treated by Fleet Street’s finest; something I suspect wouldn’t have happened if he was at West Ham. The double standards were ridiculous, if he criticised a player because they played badly he was referred to as a terrible man manager, and whilst these skills may have needed work on, I don’t remember Harry Redknapp suffering the same criticism after suggesting his wife Sandra could have scored a Darren Bent missed chance. But that was good old ‘Arry having a joke, we must not forget that Di Canio is an evil, Mussolini following Fascist…well that’s what the media had people believe.

Despite having his flaws, I can’t truly blame Di Canio, his hands were tied regarding transfers by the board, he was attacked by the media at every opportunity, and simply the players didn’t perform for him or want him at the club. The players forced him out.

And this brings me onto the real problem with Sunderland AFC: The players.

In recent years the mercenaries Darren Bent and Asamoah Gyan have forced their way out of the club, both at the back end of transfer windows in chase of higher wages elsewhere, in acts of greed and betrayal. Both of these incidents occurred when Steve Bruce was at the helm which is why I have sympathy with him. During the first half of the 2010/11 season Bent, Gyan and Welbeck we were fantastic, tearing teams apart, yet by the start of the next season they were all gone.

The attitude of the players has been poor in recent years, highlighted by Phil Bardsley’s casino shenanigans as well as stating on Instagram his pleasure in Sunderland losing 1-0 at home to Fulham. They despised Di Canio because of the hard work required, and because he spoke his mind instead of pandering to the overpaid, talentless ‘professional footballers’ who play for us.

Over the last few years the players simply haven’t delivered on the pitch. There’s no doubting that this season’s squad is not the worst in the league. On paper I would have it finishing comfortably in mid-table, but unfortunately for Sunderland fans the game isn’t played on paper.

The games are played on the pitch, meaning the all the hard work of the owner, manager, backroom staff, not to mention the hopes and dreams of the supporters rest on the player’s shoulders. It’s up to them to score the goals, make the tackles and win the matches. Once they cross that white line it’s all down to them.

The players simply haven’t delivered.

World Cup Seeds: Farcical FIFA strike again

The FIFA World Rankings can never truly be taken seriously, as has been demonstrated in recent years with England reaching the dizzying heights of 3rd in the world, whilst Brazil languished in 19th place. But even now they have surpassed themselves, with their choice of seeded teams for the World Cup being quite frankly ludicrous.

My main gripe with the system is the position Uruguay find themselves in. They came 5th in the South American qualifying group, and should easily overcome Jordan in a playoff to secure their place in Brazil. However, despite the Uruguayans relatively poor qualifying campaign, they will be one of the top 8 seeds going into the World Cup should they qualify, a fact which is insulting to the nations of Chile and Ecuador.

These two countries finished above Uruguay in the lengthy South American qualification process, where each team played 16 matches yet they are not amongst the seeded nations next summer. This fundamentally highlights the inadequacies of the FIFA World Rankings, and why they should not be relied upon to produce such the seeds for major tournaments, and are therefore not needed at all.

Surely such a lengthy qualification process should have established which of the teams are better than others, and whilst I can accept it would be tough to get rid of seeding discrepancies between different countries in different continents due to the differences in quality, FIFA has no excuse here. Surely if Chile and Ecuador finished above Uruguay in such an arduous qualification process, they themselves should have been seeded? Or at the very least Uruguay should not be seeded at all. But this would require a modicum of common sense, something FIFA are sadly lacking.

And here comes my second gripe about the Uruguay fiasco. Again, assuming that they do qualify, having finished 5th in the South American group, they will be seeded ahead of Netherlands, a nation with a much better qualifying record. The Dutch won 9 of their 10 matches, yet Uruguay won just under half of theirs. It’s pretty simply which team are deserving of seeded place, yet the FIFA rankings don’t reflect this.

However, this categorically shows that the qualification system used by FIFA cannot be fit for purpose, as they are in effect ignoring the clear facts that it shows them. The rankings are clearly unreliable due to the influence which friendly’s have over them, which is ridiculous. Games which are not part of any competition, and are quintessentially money making schemes for the various football organisations such as the FA should never be taken into account when deciding on the seeds for any competitive tournament, let alone the World Cup.

There should be a set rule to determine the seeds of the World Cup before the qualification starts, which ensures that the World Cup qualifying results alone determines the seeds for the tournament, and not meaningless friendly’s. It would be very simple to implement, all FIFA would have to say for example is the hosts, plus the 3 best South American, the 3 best European, and the best African side would be seeded. Unfortunately, as I alluded to earlier, FIFA pitifully lack the vision and common sense to correct these glaring holes in their seeding process, despite it staring them right in the face.

By the way, Switzerland are seeded as well. Don’t even get me started on that.

Road to Brazil 2014: Only 18 places left

Despite it being 851 days since the first 2014 World Cup qualifier between Montserrat and Belize was played, only 14 of the 32 places have been decided, with 7 places up for grabs over the next few days.

Europe

Belgium, Italy, Germany, Netherlands and Switzerland have already qualified as winners of their respective groups, leaving 8 remaining places for European countries.

Spain and Russia are almost certainties to qualify as they only require 1 point from their final group matches against Georgia and Azerbaijan respectively.

England will also top their group if they beat Poland at Wembley on Tuesday whilst Bosnia and Herzegovina have the relatively easy task of defeating Lithuania away to secure their qualification.

Croatia and Sweden are both guaranteed places in the playoff round where they will almost certainly be joined by Portugal and France who would both need minor miracles to win their groups.

Should results go as expected, Romania, Ukraine and Greece will also make the playoffs whilst Iceland should pip Slovenia to second place in Group E to complete the line up.

North America

With the USA and Costa Rica having already qualified, Honduras need just 1 point in their final match away to Jamaica to secure the final qualification spot. Mexico travel to Costa Rica knowing a draw will be good enough for fourth place, ensuring an intercontinental playoff match with New Zealand whilst a win and a Honduras loss would give them a chance of an automatic qualification place.

South America

Columbia sealed their spot at the Finals alongside Argentina with a dramatic 3 goal comeback at home to Chile a couple of nights ago. Venezuela’s home draw with Paraguay has ensured Ecuador, Chile and Uruguay are all guaranteed at least a place in the intercontinental playoff against Jordan although it is almost certain to be Luis Suarez’s men playing the Jordanians as they lie 3 points adrift of fourth place whilst Ecuador and Chile play each other in the early hours of Wednesday morning. The odds on a draw have been slashed to 3/4 as both countries have every incentive to draw the match and ensure they both qualify.

Africa

5 two-legged playoff ties will determine which of the 10 remaining African countries will be in Brazil next summer, with the first legs being played this week and the return leg in November.

Ivory Coast won their first leg 3-1 in an impressive performance at home to Senegal leaving them as the strong favourites to win the tie, although a late Papiss Cisse goal will give the Senegalese some hope.

Nigeria too look set to win their tie, after they defeated Ethiopia 2-1 away from home. A 90th minute Emenike penalty was the difference between the sides and has probably put the tie beyond Ethiopia.

Burkino Faso beat Algeria 3-2 at home in a thriller despite twice relinquishing their goal advantage. The result leaves the tie up for grabs with Algeria’s 2 away goals ensuring that they will fancy their chances in Algiers in a month’s time.

Tunisia and Cameroon played out a drab 0-0 draw in Tunis leaving a Samuel Eto’o inspired Cameroon a great chance of qualification should they record a home victory over the Tunisians in November.

Ghana and Egypt kick off their first leg on Tuesday where the Ghanaians will look to exploit their home advantage in what will prove to be a fascinating tie. The bookies can’t split the two African giants leaving the tie well and truly up for grabs.

Key Matches

Ghana vs. Egypt 17:00 15/10/13

Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina 18:00 15/10/13

Romania vs. Estonia 19:00 15/10/13

Turkey vs. Netherlands 19:00 15/10/13

Norway vs. Iceland 19:00 15/10/13

Switzerland vs. Slovenia19:00 15/10/13

England vs. Poland 20:00 15/10/13

Spain vs. Georgia 20:00 15/10/13

Costa Rica vs. Mexico 02:30 16/10/13

Jamaica vs. Honduras 02:30 16/10/13

Road to Brazil 2014: Finally it’s got interesting

Internationals, competitive or otherwise are often the bane of football supporter’s lives, as they disrupt the club season whilst fans get increasingly disillusioned by the poorly performing national side. Unfortunately for England fans the coming week is of huge significance as they bid to secure their qualification in a stuttering campaign. However, despite the prospect of enduring 180 torrid minutes of England struggling on the Wembley turf, there are some other tantalising prospects as qualification all over the world nears a climax.

Europe: Group A

Belgium have virtually wrapped up the group, holding a 5 point lead over Croatia who lie in second place although the Croats could apply some pressure on the Belgians last home match vs. Wales should they defeat them in Zagreb.

Europe: Group B

Italy have already secured their ticket to Brazil leaving Bulgaria, Denmark, Czech Republic and Armenia to scrap it out for second. However, despite the Bulgarians holding the advantage in the race for second, they (or any other side which finishes second) may not even qualify for a playoff spot due them currently being the lowest ranked of the runners-up.

Europe: Group C

Germany have been ruthless in their campaign so far with only Sweden taking a single point from them in a dramatic 4 goal comeback. The race for second place is still on though with the Swedes holding a 3 point lead over Austria, but with the teams meeting in Stockholm tomorrow evening, and the Scandinavians facing Germany in their final match that is all subject to change.

Europe: Group D

Holland, similarly to Germany have qualified with ease and remain undefeated in a tricky group. Hungary, Turkey and Romania are only separated by a single point as they pursue second place and despite Romania being the bottom team of the trio, they are in pole position with both Hungary and Turkey facing tough matches against the group leaders.

Europe: Group E

Switzerland have all but secured their third successive World Cup appearance, with a solitary point needed to win the group due to their impressive goal difference. Iceland, Norway, Slovenia and Albania are all closing in on second place. The remaining fixtures have left the group fascinatingly poised, as despite the Icelandic’s currently residing in second place with a winnable home fixture against Cyprus tomorrow evening, their crunch match will come in Oslo next Tuesday.

Europe: Group F

Despite Russia only holding a 1 point lead over Portugal, it should be adequate for them to qualify for their first world cup since 2002 with simple away games against Luxembourg and Azerbaijan to come. Israel are too far behind Portugal to cause them problems, meaning Ronaldo and co will have to make do with the playoffs.

Europe: Group G

Bosnia and Herzegovina and Greece have ran away with the group with both teams being tied on 19 points, although the former have a significantly better goal difference meaning that only a trip to Lithuania and the formality of Liechtenstein at home lie in their way of Brazil ensuring Greece will only make the playoffs.

Europe: Group H

England have a chance to kill off the group with home matches against Montenegro and Poland, but failure to get 6 points would leave the door wide open to an inform Ukraine side who face Poland at home before a relatively simple task of seeing off San Marino. Therefore nothing short of 2 victories will do for England, but should the results go to the formbook, the Three Lions will top the group allowing Ukraine to claim second place leaving Montenegro and Poland falling short.

Europe: Group I

Spain may only be level on points with France, but with a game in hand included in their remaining 2 home matches against Belarus and Georgia qualification is almost a certainty leaving France in the play-offs.

North America

The final 2 rounds of fixtures in the Hexagonal stage take place over the next week leaving Honduras, Mexico and Panama to battle it out for the single remaining automatic qualifying place with an intercontinental clash against New Zealand awaiting the fourth placed side. The USA and Costa Rica have already confirmed qualification whilst Jamaica are adrift at the bottom of the group.

Honduras are 3 points clear in third place with just 4 more points required to reach the world cup from their home match with Costa Rica and away clash in Jamaica, potentially leaving Panama and Mexico to scrap it out for fourth place. Both teams lie on 8 points but face off in The Aztec Stadium leaving the Mexicans the favourites to come fourth in the group, and defeat New Zealand in the playoff.

South America

Argentina are the only team assured of qualification so far, but with the 5th placed team in the group facing the relatively easy task of brushing aside Jordan in the intercontinental playoff it would be realistic to suggest the current top 5 should all be in Brazil next summer. Columbia, Chile, Ecuador and Uruguay linger behind Argentina to make up the top 5 with only Venezuela having an outside chance of gate crashing the party.  However, they would need to win their remaining fixture against Paraguay whilst relying on either Ecuador or Uruguay losing their remaining games with a significant goal difference swing for this to occur. This means the most crucial remaining game will be the clash between Uruguay and Ecuador, with the loser of this likely to occupy the 5th place.

Key Matches:

Croatia vs. Belgium 17:00 11/10/13

Sweden vs. Austria 19:45 11/10/13

Slovenia vs. Norway 19:45 11/10/13

England vs. Montenegro 20:00 11/10/13

Ecuador vs. Uruguay 22:00 11/10/13

Mexico vs. Panama 02:30 12/10/13

Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina 18:00 15/10/13

Norway vs. Iceland 19:00 15/10/13

England vs. Poland 20:00 15/10/13

31 games to go, 39 points needed. Can Gus do it?

Gus Poyet is certainly going to be up against it, there’s no doubt about that. But with 31 games left and a squad containing a host of experienced international players, he still has a chance in what will be his toughest managerial challenge to date which beggars the question of will he do it? I certainly think so.

It will be mightily close run, with most bookmakers pricing Sunderland at just under evens to stay up. Only Crystal Palace are priced lower. However, the bigger picture can wait as far as Poyet and Sunderland fans are concerned as the formula is relatively simple. Roughly 39 points needed in 31 games, equating to 11 wins and 6 draws which appears to be simple enough, but it is worth considering that the Black Cats have only won 11 of their last 56 league games meaning the fans are under no illusion; Poyet’s got a tough job on his hands.

Without wanting to sounds overly dramatic, the opening 3 matches of the Uruguayan’s reign will be crucial in the bid for Premier League survival as they’re all winnable (and I use that term very loosely). Swansea away may sound like a tough fixture, and indeed it is, but they haven’t been on song so far this season and like Sunderland, are lingering in the lower echelons of the table whilst Newcastle have been patchy to say the least. Promising away wins at Aston Villa and Cardiff City have been interrupted by a convincing defeat at Goodison Park and a shock loss at home to Hull, who Sunderland will visit in a few weeks. Although Sunderland have a good recent against the Tigers, winning their last 6 league meetings, it could prove to be a tough and hard-fought game with Steve Bruce’s men grinding out results in low scoring games against mid-table opposition.

However, it is these tricky fixtures where Sunderland need results after a poor start comprising of defeats to Fulham, Crystal Palace and West Brom, whilst failing to take advantage of a string of first half chances against a struggling Manchester United. If the team could muster 5, or even 6 points from these 3 games then it would keep them in touch, which right now will be Poyet’s main aim with easier home games to come in the New Year, but poor results in the coming weeks could leave the club cut adrift at the bottom with little hope of survival.

Sunderland are just one defeat away from breaking Tottenham’s record for the worst start to a season in Premier League history, which would be just 1 point from 8 games, and despite Spurs getting out of the predicament that year, it demonstrates the catastrophic start the Black Cats have made. History dictates that it could already be too late, with 71% of team’s bottom of the league after 7 games going on to be relegated, but there’s no time to dwell on that. If disaster strikes and only one or two points are accumulated in the coming weeks then the table will be even grimmer viewing, as Sunderland need to at least be in touch by the New Year offering them the opportunity for significant improvement in the January transfer window.

So whilst there are still 31 games to turn the season around and a plethora of winnable home games coming after Christmas, there’s no exaggeration in stating that the next 3 games are vital, and crucial in the survival hopes of this great football club.

There’s still hope yet.